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By All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA - WFT vs. Saints, CC BY-SA 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=110944936

After an injury-plagued season, Vegas oddsmakers favor Jameis Winston to rise from the ashes and win the AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year award.

Although Winston struggled at Tampa Bay, the New Orleans Saints gave him a chance to become their favored right signal-caller. In the first few games, the 28-year-old showed promise but had his season cut short after tearing his ACL when playing against his former team in Week 8.

Winston became a free agent at the end of the 2021 season. However, because the Saints failed to secure Deshaun Watson’s services, they re-signed him on a two-year deal. As a result, he’s now the No. 1 quarterback at a team expected to make the playoffs.

View the opening favorites and which players represent decent betting value for the 2022 Comeback Player of the Year award.

Betting Odds for the 2022 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award

Betting odds provided by BetOnline. All odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Player Odds
Jameis Winston +400
Michael Thomas +800
Derrick Henry +900
Christian McCaffrey +900
Daniel Jones +1200
JK Dobbins +1200
Lamar Jackson +1200
Mitch Trubisky +1400
Marcus Mariota +1400
Deshaun Watson +2000
Chase Young +2000
Cam Akers +2200
Robert Woods +2200
Juju Smith-Schuster +2200
Khalil Mack +2500
Drew Lock +2500
DeAndre Hopkins +2500
Chris Godwin +2500
Travis Etienne +2800
Danielle Hunter +3300
Will Fuller V +3300
Raheem Mostert +3300
Chris Carson +3300
Marcus Peters +4000
Saquon Barkley +4000
Ryan Fitzpatrick +5000
James White +5000
Gus Edwards +1000

AP NFL Comeback POY Favorites

Jameis Winston New Orleans Saints

Winston’s fresh start with his new team didn’t work out as planned despite a decent start. The quarterback managed a 5-2 record, 14 passing touchdowns, and only committed three interceptions before getting injured in the 36-27 victory against the Bucs.

After signing Alvin Kamara (2020-2021 receptions leader), Michael Thomas (2016-2019 receptions leader), and Jarvis Landry (2014-2017 Dolphins; 2018-2020 Browns receptions leader), General Manager Mickey Loomis has provided the QB with a solid supporting cast to better his output this season.

With a new coach (Dennis Allen) and new weapons, it’s unsurprising to see Jameis Winston as the early favorite. Yet at +400, and with question marks surrounding his recovery, he doesn’t represent the best betting value.

NFL Comeback POY Value Bets

Since 2010, all but one of the AP Comeback Player of the Year winners had two things in common: they were returning from injury, and their teams made the playoffs. With this in mind, the candidates below all have a solid chance of landing the award.

Derrick Henry – Tennessee Titans

Henry lived up to the hype in 2019 after securing a 1,500+ yard, 16 touchdown campaign in 2019 and an incredible 2,000+ rushing yard, 17 touchdown year in 2020 to win the Offensive Player of the Year award.

Despite missing the last nine games of the regular season with a foot injury, he still managed 937 yards in eight games. It’s unlikely that he’ll refind his 2020 form again this year, but don’t rule him out getting close to 1,500 yards – and if he does, he could easily win the honors.

As some sportsbooks have Derrick Henry at +300 to win AP NFL Comeback POY, placing action on him at BetOnline – where he’s at +900 – is excellent betting value.

Lamar Jackson – Baltimore Ravens

As ten of the last NFL CPOY award winners have been quarterbacks – including each of the previous four, it seems unwise to bet on players holding other positions.

As a former MVP, Jackon has proven he has the skills required to land this accolade. But as he only missed five games due to injury last season, the panel may consider his potential comeback less impressive than those of other candidates.

Nevertheless, at +1200, he’s a tempting wagering option.

View the latest betting lines for upcoming NFL games.

Ben Perks
Writer

Ben began his journalism career over ten years ago. Since then, he's hacked away at his keyboard to produce articles for various publications, struggled to call football soccer, and cut off his hair to hide the fact he's going grey.