by Ben Perks
The hype surrounding the Bills has led Vegas oddsmakers to favor their head coach Sean McDermott to win the 2022-23 NFL Coach Of The Year award at +1000.
In second place at +1400 are Brandon Staley of the Los Angeles Chargers, Josh McDaniels of the Las Vegas Raiders, and Dan Campbell of the Detroit Lions.
Find out the betting trends, favorites, and dark horses for the NFL Coach Of The Year award.
NFL Coach of the Year Winner Betting Odds
| NFL Head Coach | Betting Odds |
|---|---|
| Sean McDermott (BUF) | +1000 |
| Brandon Staley (LAC) | +1400 |
| Josh McDaniels (LV) | +1400 |
| Dan Campbell (DET) | +1400 |
NFL Coach of the Year – Key Info
- When: Thursday February 9, 2023 in Glendale Arizona – three days after Super Bowl LVII
- Mike Vrabel won the honors in 2022
- Sean McDermott is the current favorite
Coach of the Year Betting Trends
Before wagering on who will win the Coach of the Year at NFL betting sites, it’s wise to take a look at the patterns of recent awards.
If you want to place action on Vrabel repeating, keep in mind that the last time a coach won the award two years in a row was in 1983, when Joe Gibbs of Washington claimed the prize.
Also, another stat to consider is that not since 1990 has the winner coached a team to fewer than ten wins (Jimmy Johnson’s Cowboys went 7-9). Additionally, only twice since 2000 has the winner’s team had fewer than 11 wins.
NFL Coach Of The Year Opening Favorites
Sean McDermott
NFL bettors and Vegas oddsmakers think McDermott will end Buffalo’s agonizingly long wait for a Super Bowl.
Although him lifting the Vince Lombardi is far from certain with a franchise that’s failed in each of its four Super Bowl appearances, leading the Bills to the biggest game in football should be enough to get the award – regardless of the outcome.
With three solid seasons and back-to-back AFC East championships under his belt, McDermott has often been a top contender for these honors.
But as the Bills were favorites to win their division, put up another double-digit win season and go far in the playoffs even before the acquisition of star linebacker Von Miller, the 48-year-old has a better chance than ever of landing this individual accolade.
Brandon Staley
If Brandon Staley bounces back from the tragic end to the Chargers’ season, his rise-from-the-ashes story could win him the Coach of the Year award. The coach’s poor decisions in the final minutes against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 18 cost the Chargers their first postseason birth since 2018.
But despite falling at the final hurdle, Staley undoubtedly helped transform the Chargers into a winning team despite having one of the most challenging schedules in the league.
With a roster boasting Justin Herbert and Derwin James plus the offseason acquisitions of All-Pro talent Khalil Mack and J.C. Jackson, the Chargers look like legitimate Super Bowl contenders.
With this in mind and the fact that many expect Staley to hone his decision-making skills down the stretch of games, he represents excellent betting value at +1400.
Josh McDaniels
After excelling as the offensive coordinator for the New England Patriots, McDaniels was one of the hottest head coaching prospects for several seasons. Therefore, the Las Vegas Raiders were delighted to secure his services.
McDaniels will begin his first season at the reins of a team featuring quarterback Derrick Carr, versatile runningback Josh Jacobs, and Davante Adams – arguably the best wide receiver in the league.
As the Raiders have given the new coach all the tools to succeed, it’s easy to see why he’s a top contender at online sportsbooks.
Dan Campbell
Campbell proved he has stellar coaching skills by overachieving with the Detroit Lions last season.
The passionate head coach also captured the hearts of football fans with his inspirational speeches and blue-collar charm on HBO’s Hard Knocks last season. So despite not having the same weapons at his disposal as other Coach of the Year frontrunners, this master motivator could galvanize his players and charm the voting panel enough to take home this coveted award.
Value Betting Options for the Coach of the Year Award
Todd Bowles
After serving on Tampa Bay’s staff since 2019, the Bucs made Todd Bowles the new Head Coach in March. As Bowles knows his personnel well and has Tom Brady in his ranks, we think he has gone under the radar as a top prospect for Coach of the Year.
The former New York Jets coach is regarded as one of the best coaches in the sport. In fact, rumors suggest that his planned appointment made Brady change his mind about retirement.
So with a roster packed with talent under his control, this rookie head coach represents solid betting value.
Matt LaFleur
Despite being relatively young for a head coach (42), Matt La Fleur has proven he has what it takes to stand toe to toe with the best in the league. While in charge of the Green Bay Packers, la Fleur has an incredible 39-10 record.
As a result, his name has featured in Coach of the Year conversations since taking the role in 2019.
Now with all-time great Aaron Rodgers lining up for what many think will be his final season, the Packers will go all out to give him an adequate goodbye. A fairytale ending for Rodgers would surely land La Fleur this award. So at +2000, he’s a tempting NFL futures wagering option.
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Ben is a sports journalist & part-time trader with a passion for finding +EV bets. Ben lives in Madrid, Spain where he enjoys the live poker scene, and sunshine where he covers UFC, MLB, NHL, NBA, as well as tennis betting.
