The Razorbacks upset the odds by defeating Gonzaga to set up an Elite Eight showdown with the Blue Devils. Despite showing real grit to beat the tournament favorites to reach this stage of March Madness, no. 4 seed Arkansas faces no. 2 seed Duke as a -200 underdog.
But could the Hogs pull off another shock on Saturday at the Chase Center? Get insights and view the latest betting lines for this NCAA West Region final game.
Arkansas vs. Duke: Game Info
- Date/Time: March 26, 8:39 p.m. ET
- Arena: Chase Center
- Where to watch: CBS
- Bovada has Duke at +375 to win the tournament
The Underdogs Are Having Their Day
Online betting sites have no. 2 East seed Duke as a -180 favorite on the moneyline, equating to a 64.29% implied win probability. As for The Razorbacks, they are +155 to get the victory, meaning they have a 39.22% implied win probability.
Yet you should never underestimate Arkansas. The Hogs are 17-2 since putting South Dakota transfer Stanley Umude into the starting lineup in January. Also, as the no. 4 seed is making its second consecutive Elite Eight appearance, they are not short on experience.
Umude’s physical presence turned Arkansas into a solid defensive outfit, making the team a formidable opponent despite being the least likely of the SEC big four to make it this far. The Razorbacks more than proved that they deserve to still be in the NCAA tournament by beating the Zags 68-74 with a defensive masterclass. They outmuscled the Zags to force turnovers and stifle their high-low offense in their Sweet 16 game, silencing their pre-tournament doubters.
So if they put on a similar performance this Saturday, the Hogs could make it to the Final Four.
Fairytale Ending for Coach K?
After picking themselves up from a lackluster end to the season, the Blue Devils are now in a prime position to keep the hopes of a fairytale ending for coach Mike Krzyzewski alive.
Even though it won’t be a walk in the park for Duke, forward Paolo Banchero has the firepower to knock the Razorbacks out of March Madness. Banchero averages 17 points per game (one of only five Division I players) and scored 22 on 7-for-12 shooting against Texas Tech on Thursday.
Although Arkansas held Gonzaga to 68 in the Sweet 16 game, Duke averages 80.2 points per game and is one of the best attacking teams in the nation. Duke has the No. 2 offensive efficiency rating in the country, while Arkansas is ranked 11th defensively. Meanwhile, Arkansas is 53rd offensively, and Duke is 47th defensively.
Therefore, it will be a classic attack vs. defense matchup – but one that the Blue Devils should win.
March Madness Betting Info: No. 2 Duke
- First Round: Defeated No. 15 Cal State Fullerton 78-61
- Second Round: Defeated No. 7 Michigan State 85-76
- Sweet 16: Defeated No. 3 Texas Tech 78-73
- KenPom rating: 11 Overall, 4 Offense, 45 Defense
- Leading scorer: Paolo Banchero (17 ppg)
- March Madness stat: Duke is shooting 56.1% from two.
Sweet 16 Game: Texas Tech
Duke came out on top after a slugfest against Texas Tech on Thursday. After much back and forth, Paolo Banchero and Jeremy Roach dragged the Blue Devils in front with some impressive clutch shooting. The Red Raiders were within two with 15 seconds left, but AJ Griffin stepped up with some free throws to get the victory.
March Madness Betting Info: No. 4 Arkansas
- First Round: Defeated No. 13 Vermont 75-71
- Second Round: Defeated No. 12 New Mexico State 53-48
- Sweet 16: Defeated No. 1 Gonzaga 74-68
- KenPom rating: 17 Overall, 53 Offense, 11 Defense
- Leading scorer: JD Notae (18.4 ppg)
- March Madness stat: Arkansas has forced 40 turnovers through three games in the tournament
Sweet 16 Game: Gonzaga
Arkansas showed up Vegas oddsmakers by taking down the top team in the entire tournament on Thursday. The Razorbacks carried a three-point lead into the half before holding their own down the stretch to beat the Zags. JD Notae shined again to finish the game with 21 points, six rebounds, and six assists.
March Madness West Region Betting Info
|Season||No. 1 Seed||West Region Winner (Seed)|
|2019||Gonzaga||Texas Tech (#3)|
|2013||Gonzaga||Wichita State (#9)|
|2012||Michigan State||Louisville (#4)|
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